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WDEL Blog: Allan Loudell

Latest POLITICO poll: Not good news for Mitt Romney

POLITICO's latest national poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by only three percentage points, but President Obama has pulled ahead on a number of issues, and views about the Presidential race appear to be hardening. Interestingly though, the gender gap appears to be narrowing.


http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81582.html

Posted at 7:23am on September 24, 2012 by Allan Loudell

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Comments on this post:

Mike from Delaware
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 8:41am
The point I've made before still applies: Mitt Romney needs to be the moderate Mitt Romney, not the far-right-wing Romney the TEA party wants.

Romney is being perceived as someone who places no value in, and couldn't care less about the working-class person and their families. He's seen as the wealthy person who's only looking out for his upper 2% rich pals, who'd dismantle Social Security and Medicare (Folks at, or near the age to get those BENEFITS that they've paid into for over 40+ years from their hard work of being employed paying taxes into the system; they're not entitlements Mr.Romney.) Folks are upset at many things he and Paul Ryan are saying. That latest thing, when Mitt was caught on tape essentially lumping in these hard-working citizens in with the Welfare bums who choose NOT to work really ticked off a lot of working-class folks, and yes, more than likely lost Romney their votes in November.

Romney needs to emphasize that under his plan both Social Security and Medicare will be there just as they are now for those of us 55 and over. He needs to be specific on what his plans are and that he's NOT Bush Jr., the Sequel. IF he doesn't get this message out loud and clear, he will lose the election, in my opinion.

Mike from Delaware
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 8:44am
Let me improve the wording.

Romney needs to emphasize that under his plan both Social Security and Medicare will be there just as they are now, for those of us 55 and over (that comma makes a difference).

He needs to be specific on what his plans are and that he's NOT Bush Jr., the Sequel. IF he doesn't get these messages out loud and clear, he will lose the election, in my opinion.

EarlGrey
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 9:38am
Polls are all over the place right now....personally I have stopped paying attention to the polls... who actually still picks up a landline phone to answer a long list of questions from an unknown person? I never pick up or answer anymore.

I will start paying attention again as the debates begin. Both men need to do well...Romney needs to appear in charge & strong to win. I would have preferred to see Newt or Santorum debating Obama, but neither of these men were picked as the Republican choice.

EarlGrey
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 10:03am
Mike, as you continue to wish Romney were a moderate (which most Tea Partiers consider him) you, we Tea Party supporters, Reagan Democrats, and Ron Paul supporters need to decide if we want a moderate or this current prez. Do you really think that Romney would choose to go on The View while in NYC instead of meeting face-to-face with world leaders at the UN in NYC? Would Romney allow the UN to dictate our First Amendment right to free speech? I heard this morning that Hillary Clinton has signed such an agreement with the UN concerning any speech (or movies) that might offend a certain prophet. <-Do you know if this one is true, Mr. Loudell?

Mike from Delaware
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 10:23am
EarlGrey: That is why I want the Moderate Romney back on the campaign trail. Sure, the TEA folks, you, and I, the Reagan Democrats will probably vote for Mitt as Obama isn't a viable choice for various reasons (I've stated my concerns numerous times so I'll not bore you all with that again). But those undecided moderate Independent voters who could go either way are the folks he's losing with his elitist talk. Only thing he hasn't done is put on a black top hat and start puffing on a big stogy. Sometimes it's almost like he wants to lose this election.

I've not seen that UN stuff you mentioned, but it sure wouldn't surprise me if that were the case. Just another potental reason to vote for Mitt.

JimH
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 12:35pm
I noticed an interesting post on Facebook from Newt. He points out this is not a race between Romney and Reagan. It is a fight between Romney and Obama. We are not voting for perfection. Rather, we are voting for a change in direction while we still can. So conservatives need to back off and unite behind the candidate.

Romney is promising to get off the fund raising trail and start going to the voters. Meanwhile, Obama continues on his fund raising and entertainment tour. Meeting with Jay Z rather than meeting the prime minister of Israel was a nice touch. He complains that Congress is leaving town and meanwhile he never goes to town.

The current polls have no relation to reality. As Earl Grey points out, folks no longer answer the land line, if they even have one. That is where most poll questions go. This election will be the opposite of 1936. That year, polls showed a big win for Alf Landon over FDR. Again, faulty poll data. I still expect a big Romney win.

EarlGrey
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 12:59pm
"There is a new website, called unskewedpolls.com, that basically reweights the data to fit the Rasmussen party identification. Their results are quite different, giving Romney somewhere between a five and eleven point lead.

Now, this should also be taken with a grain of salt. Basically, they claim (by the site name) to be an unskewed poll. In fact, they’re just a differently skewed take on existing polls. Instead of taking their numbers over, say, Gallup, though, what it should tell us is that even if the polls are being heavily weighted to Obama, Romney’s still essentially tied. Any difference in Romney’s direction in real turnout from the pollster’s assumptions would bring Romney into a lead."



http://www.unskewedpolls.com/
http://pjmedia.com/tatler/2012/09/23/skewed-and-unskewed-polls/



Mike from Delaware
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 1:23pm
JimH makes a good point. Romney is not Reagan, heck even Reagan wasn't the Reagan that has been immortalized and "sainted".

What matters is how well Romney gets his message out (Given the slant of the mainstream media, that's an uphill battle for sure as the bias in reporting is blatantly bad this time around).

So that leaves the debates where many folks will listen and watch (radio/TV/online) to make their final decision as they can hear the candidates' actual words rather than a talking head's interpretation of their words.

Then the other important thing is for all folks who do NOT want Obama to have a second term need to be sure and go and vote on election day for Mitt Romney, no third party candidates, no write-in candidates, just Mitt Romney. Also on election day, this same group of voters needs to vote for their local GOP Congressional Candidate so that hopefully the GOP can gain a stronger hold on the Congress so that a President Romney can get some stuff done. THAT's the day that really counts. All the rest is just talk and conjecture.

I believe it will be a photo-finish, so every vote is needed or we will get stuck with another four years of Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and Harry Reid continuing to make the US more like Europe. We'd get the party (the DEMS) that did vote God out of their platform as we all heard and saw on nationwide radio/TV at their convention. Those two things alone, should be enough to make plenty of Americans vote for Romney.

mrpizza
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 8:40pm
I sure hope JimH is right. Otherwise, get ready to live in a police state!

kavips
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 9:15pm
OH.... MY..... GOODNESS... What a liar Ryan is. Does it ever stop? Does he not know people have memories and can fact check everything he says? Every politician lies. I accept that we all know that, even those deemed to be the most truthful... But there are shades, or little twists, or slants against a fairly truthful message.

But there is no honor that comes from doing something that ruins the nation, and then pointing the finger and blaming Obama again... for something Ryan himself was responsible for.....

This guy you Republicans picked... is such a loser... Oh, here is his latest... This guy's maturity is that of a little boy who was caught in his mom's bed with the next door neighbor... "It's your fault mom, you left the door open."

"Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan says President Barack Obama's attempt to cut military spending is putting Americans at risk overseas. [...]

The Wisconsin congressman says gutting the military will embolden enemies abroad. But Ryan didn't tell his audience that he was the one who created, packaged, and sold the rest of the party on the exact same defense cuts he's now criticizing on the campaign trail.

Specifically the military-budget sequestering was suggested by Ryan in return for the raising of the debt-ceiling last summer...

And now, he is blaming it on Obama... It is too funny. You can't say "oh how horrible," or "oh, how immoral" or "oh, how terribly un-Christian."

Instead, we all have to laugh, even guffaw, Republicans, Tea Partiers, and perhaps Democrats too, that a serious contender for the head of the United States of America, chose this little boy to be on heartbeat away from the {residency.....

I guess like every other Republican idea ever offered, including that of a 4-Trillion-dollar tax-cut when America is on its knees and bankrupt, ... ... "it seemed like a good idea at the time... "

lol.

kavips
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 9:26pm
On the other hand, to be even handed and fair, here is why Romney and Ryan are going to surprise everyone in November.

Republican economic policy works....

http://img823.imageshack.us/img823/1573/wiemploygrowaug12.gif

mrpizza
Mon, Sep 24, 2012 11:15pm
Time to fact-check your fact-checks!


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