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WDEL Blog: Allan Loudell

Are you ready for another disputed Presidential election outcome?

The debates have so evened out the Presidential race, increasing numbers of observers doing the Electoral College arithmetic foresee a razor-thin finish.

Indeed, we COULD see the 2000 election all over again, with disputed recounts in one or two pivotal states AND the possibility of two winners: The popular vote winner, and the Electoral College winner, who, of course, becomes the next President of the United States.

And R's and D's could exchange roles. Respected veteran political analyst Charlie Cook sees the possibility of Mitt Romney winning the majority of popular votes, but Barack Obama winning the 270+ electoral votes.

Wouldn't that be ironic? The current president, saved by a Constitutional mechanism regarded as anachronistic by many liberals / progressives who would abolish it, and a Constitutional mechanism giving a second term to a President considered anathema by many conservatives who draw their inspiration from the U.S. Constitution.

For the good of the country - to avoid yet another election where some Americans dispute the very legitimacy of the outcome - I hope whomever wins gets a majority of the popular AND electoral votes, and with no disputed outcomes in the states.

But Charlie Cook here raises the possibility of another conflicted outcome...


http://www.nationaljournal.com/columns/cook-report/the-possibility-of-a-popular-electoral-vote-split-is-very-real-20121018

Posted at 7:57am on October 19, 2012 by Allan Loudell

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Comments on this post:

Mike from Delaware
Fri, Oct 19, 2012 2:46pm
Yes it would be very ironic if Romney won the popular vote and Obama won the electoral college vote, just the opposite of the Bush Jr. vs Al Gore election of 2000. So then would that mean the libs who still complain and state that Bush stole the election of 2000? Or will they say, gee I guess our guy really didn't win? No they'd say it's correct THIS time and that Bush still stole the election of 2000.

The thing I'd be more worried about would be the opposite scenario, IF Obama wins the popular vote and Romney wins the election al la 2000. The DEMS will again claim the Republicans stole another election and THIS time against a black man, the implication being "once again the White European Male" stuck it to the black and minority Americans. I can hear Al Sharpton and his cohort in crime Jesse Jackson ranting on the national airwaves just such stuff. If THAT scenario happens, will our urban areas go up in smoke as blacks across America riot in protest over what they'll see as a "rigged election"??

mrpizza
Sat, Oct 20, 2012 10:18am
I've been thinking more along the lines of a Truman vs. Dewey in '48 scenario. In this case, I can see the left gloating that Obama won before the votes are in, only to wake up to the biggest nightmare of their lives since Reagan.

It's unlikely there would be all those pre-printed newspapers with the wrong winner as news today is so much more instantaneous.

mrpizza
Sat, Oct 20, 2012 10:27am
Here's one thing I think we can all agree on, regardless of political views. The polls show very clearly that even though Obama may still win, he does not have nearly the support he had in 2008. I've heard many a person who voted for Obama the first time calling talk shows (admittedly right-wing ones because left-wing shows can't get enough sponsorship for obvious reasons) who say they'll be voting for Romney. I believe most of those while not necessarily in love with Romney, are voting AGAINST Obama. They see they've been sold a bill of goods. The question is whether there are enough voters in all the right states to throw him out.

EarlGrey
Sat, Oct 20, 2012 11:39pm
None of my friends who voted for Obama in 08' are excited about voting for him now...some are dyed-in-the-wool Democrats and they will either vote for Obama or just not vote at all this time, some are voting for Gary Johnson and a few are voting for Romney. These friends all live in our very blue state of Delaware that voted in a higher percentage of population for Obama than almost any other state in our country. I also have several friends in Detroit who were very excited about Obama in 2008 but (as devout black Christians) they are not voting Obama this year.

Mike from Delaware
Sun, Oct 21, 2012 5:18pm
Wouldn't that be great IF Delaware went for Romney? I realize the odds are against this, but hey, you never know.

mrpizza
Tue, Oct 23, 2012 9:58pm
539 electoral votes for Romney, everybody!


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