WDEL Blog: Allan Loudell

Romney momentum: Real or ephemeral? If real, could he peak early, or will he bulldoze the President?

Former Governor Mitt Romney may be on a roll. But for how long?

An interesting analysis from The WASHINGTON POST...




http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/10/25/is-mitt-romneys-momentum-real-or-fake/?hpid=z4








Posted at 7:15am on October 25, 2012 by Allan Loudell

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Comments on this post:

EarlGrey
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 9:28am
I think the momentum is real...people are finally paying attention and thinking about what the next four years would look under Obama or Romney.

The Romney endorsement below from the Detroit News sums up why I believe the Miit momentum is real.
http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121025/OPINION01/210250332/1008/opinion01/Editorial-Mitt-Romney-President

JimH
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 9:42am
The media is still hoping to save Obama's skin. But the truth is the more voters see and hear Obama, the less they like him and the more presidential Romney looks. The media just can't accept how poor a president Obama really is.

Romney in a landslide!

Mike from Delaware
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 12:41pm
I heard during CBS radio news at noon, that there are more signs of the economy beginning to improve. They mentioned more folks will be hired for Christmas help and that, I believe he said, it is predicted that about 40% of those will continue on after Christmas (when you're in traffic, you sometimes miss stuff they say or don't hear it completely). Of course, the CBS anchor didn't use the word Christmas, he did say the Holidays, but you get the point.

So with only two week left until election day, the mainstream media probably will be looking for any and all positive stories to help Obama.

On another vane...

Heard an interesting story on NPR yesterday about early voting. Apparently early voting isn't just absentee balloting for military or business folks who'd be out of their state on election day anymore. Apparently many states allow folks to vote early. Some states allow folks to go to some location prior to election day and vote, like in a Sunday. NPR had a very balanced report on this, where they mentioned that DEMS benefit by that aspect of early voting in that many black churches, provide vans/bus travel to their churches as many of their congregations don't have cars. So on these early voting days, that fall on a Sunday, these black churches will bus or van their folks to the polling places before taking them home after church.

Here is part of the transcript:
"MCALLISTER: I think that when you look at some of the organizations that oftentimes rally around early voting, you look at a lot of urban communities, they will do a lot of early voting. If it's available on Sunday, you will see buses go from church straight to the polling booths. So that you have an opportunity for those that don't have transportation, that have to use these same vans to go to church, they could be taken to the polls.

It's one of the few times throughout the week where busy family members may be able to pick up an elderly family member or a family member that is disabled. They pick them up, they go to church, they go to breakfast, they go to the polls that one Sunday or those two Sundays that early voting is available. And generally speaking, when you're talking about those type of environments, those type of voters, they're in urban environments, they're in urban districts, and they're generally going to lean Democratic.

MARTIN: Interesting. OK, Professor Gronke, do you cosign that? I mean we do note that the Obama campaign has made a big push towards early voting. President Obama says he plans to vote this week and First Lady Michelle Obama has already mailed in her ballot. And the campaign posted pictures of her doing so. Do you think Lenny has a point?

GRONKE: Lenny, what state do you live in?

MCALLISTER: I ran for office in the state of North Carolina but I've lived in North Carolina, I've lived in the D.C. area, and I've lived in the city of Chicago.

GRONKE: Well, that's fascinating. North Carolina actually is a very interesting state because some states it is the early in-person - the people who show up in person - who are mobilized in urban communities such as, you know, Raleigh and Charlotte and Rocky Mount, the other areas in North Carolina. Absolutely right.

Big move in 2008, African-Americans in the Southeast, heavy levels of enthusiasm for Barack Obama. But I would differ if you look across the country. Republicans have done better traditionally in the by mail, the absentee balloting. And so California, when it was more of a Republican stronghold, had lots of absentee balloting.

Out in Colorado, some of these other states, Republicans have very good vote-by-mail absentee lists. Republicans don't mobilize these by mail ballots. Democrats were a little bit later to the game but they mobilized very effectively the in-person early voting exactly how Lenny describes."

http://www.npr.org/2012/10/24/163548905/-is-early-voting-a-quiet-revolution

teatime
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 1:35pm

Disagree that Romney looks "presidential." It's clear from the last debate, and from previous actions, that Romney is completely unqualified to be a world leader.

mrpizza
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 7:51pm
Teatime: I think it's time for a reality check. The primary is over. Romney is the candidate. Deal with it.

mrpizza
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 7:52pm
I don't know yet about Romney vs. Obama, but for the world series I'm calling it Giants in 4.

mrpizza
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 8:09pm
I'll be early voting in Maryland this Saturday. Wanna guess who I'm gonna vote for? And by the way, I'll be voting "no" on question 7, even though the state Republican establishment led by Michael Steele are touting it as a "boon for our schools". What a crock! Legalized casino gambling drains the economy of valuable resources and exploits the weakest members of society who we're supposed to be helping.

Now if we could just get rid of that excessive overhead known as congress and vote on everything else by referendum, we could finally clean this mess up!

EarlGrey
Thu, Oct 25, 2012 9:06pm
I'm going to disagree mrpizza...Detroit Tigers all the way!

kavips
Sat, Oct 27, 2012 12:10am
I'm seeing very positive movement in the Obama camp, and the difference between my perspective and yours, may be the time difference between our comments. A lot has happened over the interim. Early voting is 10 to 1 in favor of Obama, and Mr. Pizza, ... vote early and vote often, it looks like your side may need everyone.

Romney after the last debate, has gone back into the slump he was in before debate 1. Where every day, there is a rape remark, a gaffe on the economy, another switch of views... it's beginning to look like again, he doesn't have the stuff it takes to be a chief executive.

I'm writing this the day, after he told Ohio that Chrysler was moving their Jeep plant to China, and of course the audiences boo'd.

But, it backfired, because it refocused the story that Romney and Bain are moving Senestra from Illinois to China, (that's the company Americans are training the very Chinese who will take over their jobs) ...

Romney is actually sending jobs to China, and Jeep is staying in Ohio, and they just added their third shift, and for the first time since 2005, they will be working around the clock. Incidentally in Smyrna Tennessee, Toyota has also added a third shift and for the first time since that plant was built, it too is working around the clock.....

Hooray for Obama. Way to drive the economy.,

Good luck guys. All you got is 1 debate performance on your side...

EarlGrey
Sat, Oct 27, 2012 1:17am
I hope that all who read this blog and want our current leader fired listen to your advice kavips. Republicans, Reagan Democrats, JFK Democrats, Bluedog Democrats, Libertarians, Christians, Jews, Muslims, all races, men & women, and anyone else who thinks this president's policies and actions have seriously harmed our country need to VOTE HIM OUT OF OFFICE!

Romney is up in most polls but we need this to be a landslide victory for him and not another Bush/Gore result...I believe we will have absolute chaos if it's that close.

BTW, Seven of every ten Govt Motors cars are now made in China and the new plants are being built there.

http://lettingfreedomring.com/2012/08/13/general-motors-ceo-7-out-of-10-gm-vehicles-made-outside-us-commitment-with-communist-china-video/

mrpizza
Sat, Oct 27, 2012 3:22am
EarlGrey: I'm in favor of the Tigers as you are, and I hope I can say in the next couple of days that I was wrong. However, at this point, I think the only way the Tigers will win is if the Giants get tired. It will be interesting to see if homefield advantage works in Detroit.

kavips
Sat, Oct 27, 2012 5:10pm
i would say I have to agree with Earl Gray. If you are one of the few people who think Romney (who they don't like in Massachusetts btw),( and who is the FIRST republican nominee not endorsed by the Salt Lake City Tribune.... his second home), (cough, cough,) can do a better job than the best president we've ever had... a president who by the way:

...spent his first few years in the White House tackling many of the hardest, dirtiest jobs on America’s economic to-do list.

Who prevented a global financial meltdown from metastasizing into a second Great Depression.

Who rescued a free falling auto industry.
Who re-regulated a dangerously out-of-whack Wall Street.
And who is poised to cement a long-term debt-reduction deal by the middle of 2013.

Who killed the person responsible for taking over four airplanes and flying them into America’s landmarks.

Who’s created more jobs than Dwight Eisenhower, George H.W. Bush, and George W. Bush did over their whole terms.

Who’s won the Noble Peace Prize.

Who changed American Medicine’s priority from making money, to taking care of people with his Affordable Healthcare Act.

Yeah, that guy. If you think a vulture capitalist who's never governed, can do a better job than the accomplishments above, then you probably should vote for Romney....

Just think if America had voted against Lincoln in its second term. There'd be two United States right now. Just think if America had voted against Roosevelt in his second term. We never would have aided the British; they would have fallen and Europe would today have no Jews. Just think if we hadn't given Truman his own term, and we had Dewey. Communism would still be alive today.... because the United States would have done nothing to contain it...

If you really want to fire one of our best presidents ever, then do so. Just don't be upset that those of us who appreciate character, those of us who appreciate competence, those of us who appreciate leadership, stuck with the guy who stuck with us....


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